25 Jul · 23:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1355
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H11-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)