25 Jul · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1667
FormLWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Oracz
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1519
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H15-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-2)