26 Jul · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1521
FormWWLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1667
FormLWWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H38-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-6)