26 Jul · 00:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1472
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1495
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.