26 Jul · 00:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1716
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Durda
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1650
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)