26 Jul · 00:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sulkowski
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1282
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)