26 Jul · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1359
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1514
FormLLLWL
33%
67%
🌟Skorupa goes over total as favourite 62% (32)
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)