26 Jul · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1516
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Machelski
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1353
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)