26 Jul · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1685
FormWWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Warzecha
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)