26 Jul · 02:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1336
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1473
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H12-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)