26 Jul · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1669
FormLWWLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Oracz
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1353
FormLLLLL
80%
20%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~74 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+316
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+316)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)