26 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1516
FormLWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1685
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H61-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-13)