26 Jul · 03:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1515
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1620
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)