26 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1385
FormLLWLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1711
FormWWLLW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+326
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+326)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)