26 Jul · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1311
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Staniszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1356
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)