26 Jul · 05:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1383
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Suchecki
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1356
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.