26 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1373
FormLWLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1584
FormLWLLL
28%
72%
🌟Koczyba stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+211
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)