26 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1437
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1467
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.