26 Jul · 06:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1325
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wisniewski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1311
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H23-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.