26 Jul · 04:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1713
2-3Final setsLach won
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1642
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Durda at 59%. The actual result was Marcin Lach 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Michal Durda favoured — closing 1.81
Set handicap
Michal Durda −1.5 sets
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Durda is favoured to win, below means Marcin Lach.
▲ Michal Durdapre 63% → final 25%
Marcin Lach ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsLach recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games