26 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1483
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mleczko
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1427
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)