26 Jul · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1308
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Staniszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1365
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)