26 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1334
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wisniewski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1308
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H24-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.