26 Jul · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1526
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pytlas
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1382
FormLLWWL
65%
35%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H19-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-7)