26 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1376
FormWLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zemla
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1536
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)