26 Jul · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1567
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Koczyba
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1546
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Koczyba stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.