26 Jul · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1380
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Staniszewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1334
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H26-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-18)