26 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1470
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mleczko
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1425
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)