26 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1387
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nosiadek
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1366
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Nosiadek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.