26 Jul · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1431
FormLWWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1558
FormLLWWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)