26 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1334
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wisniewski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1301
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 26% · 3.78· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H24-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.