26 Jul · 11:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1565
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jadach
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1547
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H13-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.