26 Jul · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1454
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1547
FormLWWWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Przewlocki🌟Przewlocki goes over total as underdog 72% (46)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H24-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-9)