26 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1341
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Suchecki
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1375
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.