26 Jul · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1498
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1573
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)