26 Jul · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1375
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Staniszewski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1295
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+80
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)