26 Jul · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1254
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Staniczek
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1394
FormWLLLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Staniczek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H15-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-5)