26 Jul · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kapik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1644
FormWLWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Kapik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H79-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (79-39)