26 Jul · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Rutkowski
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1725
FormWLLWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H46-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-22)