26 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jadach
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1547
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 37% · 2.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H14-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.