26 Jul · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1480
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1692
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 37% · 2.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)