26 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1428
FormLWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1574
FormLWWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)