26 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1375
FormWLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1465
FormWLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)