26 Jul · 18:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1445
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1547
FormWLWWL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Przewlocki🌟Przewlocki goes over total as underdog 72% (46)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H25-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-9)