26 Jul · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1419
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1332
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H20-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-17)