27 Jul · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Rutkowski
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1728
FormWWLLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H46-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-22)