Arkadiusz Mugowski vs Jakub Nosiadek — TT Elite Series

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26 Jul · 17:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1389

3-1Final setsMugowski won

🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek

ELO 1375

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 50%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Jakub Nosiadek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jakub Nosiadek favoured — closing 1.75

Upset

Total 81.5

91 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jakub Nosiadek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jakub Nosiadek −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Arkadiusz Mugowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nosiadek.

▲ Arkadiusz Mugowskipre 54% → final 77%

Jakub Nosiadek ▼

Biggest swing 41 ptsMugowski recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games