26 Jul · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1476
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Schaniel
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1377
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Nowak🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H47-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-23)