26 Jul · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1376
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1486
FormWLLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)