26 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1369
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nosiadek
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1321
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Nosiadek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)